California after Arnold

Sound Bite

This book is a "must-read" for political activists, academics, journalists and political junkies of all sorts. It shows where the Golden State has been in the past two generations, where it is now and where it is going. The book describes the Schwarzenegger Administration in the context of broad political, demographic, economic and historical forces going back to the 1911 structural political reforms of Hiram Johnson, and it illustrates how Democrats and Republicans have won past elections in California, the strategies they have used, and why. In addition, over 100 charts unwind a tangle of details and line them up by region, ethnicity, income, party affiliation, and voter turnout over time, including results on initiatives regarding everything from water rights to hand guns.

About the Book

As Arnold Schwarzenegger begins to end his internationally famous and historic governorship, the intense jockeying to replace him has started. National figures like Dianne Feinstein, Jerry Brown, Gavin Newsome and Antonio Villaraigosa are among the contenders. California after Arnold provides historic perspective for the Schwarzenegger Administration, looks at the current state of California politics and society, and offers some projections for the future of the Golden State.

Perhaps somewhat surprisingly, given his outsized career as a bodybuilder and movie star, Schwarzenegger has produced a very mixed record as Governor: while he utterly failed to terminate what he called crazy deficit spending, he has achieved far-reaching reforms in the areas of legislative redistricting, the environment and labor laws.

As the most populous state in the union and the eighth largest economy in the world, California politics continues to influence events well beyond its borders. For example, the electoral votes of the Golden State elected two presidents in the 20th Century: Woodrow Wilson in 1916 and Richard Nixon in 1968. California governors invariably find themselves on prospective presidential candidates lists and indeed, the state has produced a plethora of national candidates: Hiram Johnson, Herbert Hoover, Earl Warren, Richard Nixon, Ronald Reagan, Jerry Brown and Pete Wilson, plus Schwarzenegger, who surely would have run had he been eligible.

Much has been written, and will surely be written, on California politics, but no other work will contain such a comprehensive collection of demographic and politics data, relying on actual election returns, Census data and exit polls, including 100+ tables that break out demographic and voter details for all to see.The book illustrates how Democrats and Republicans have won, the different strategies they have used and why. The book looks at the prospective candidates in 2010 and also at the long-term prospects of both parties and various ethnic and interest groups.

Introduction

California After Arnold by Stephen D. Cummings takes readers on an insightful journey through California's political evolution, offering an essential resource for activists, academics, journalists, and anyone interested in the Golden State’s vibrant political scene. Cummings examines California’s political history over the past two generations, its current state, and its future trajectory, providing a comprehensive and nuanced analysis.

The Schwarzenegger Era in Context: The book explores the impact of Arnold Schwarzenegger’s governorship, highlighting how his celebrity status both complicated and defined modern California politics. Cummings examines strategies used by Democrats and Republicans during this period, providing a lens to understand governance challenges and shifts in public perception.

Historical Foundations: Tracing California’s political roots back to early 20th-century reforms by Hiram Johnson, the author connects past events to present dynamics. These structural changes empowered voters through initiatives and referendums, shaping California’s uniquely democratic political environment.

Political Strategies and Trends: Cummings dissects election strategies and voter behavior, showing how major parties have adapted to changing demographics and sentiments. By analyzing election outcomes and regional trends, the book uncovers the evolution of political affiliations and the forces driving electoral change.

Data-Driven Insights: Over 100 detailed charts and graphs enhance the narrative, breaking down complex political issues by region, ethnicity, income, and voter turnout. Visual aids on topics such as water rights and gun control help readers grasp the intricate interplay between policies and public opinion.

Themes of Change: The book delves into demographic shifts, including the growing diversity of the electorate, and examines critical issues like immigration, climate change, and economic inequality. These discussions illuminate both the challenges and opportunities California faces as it navigates an evolving political landscape.

Looking Ahead: Cummings forecasts California’s political future, analyzing how historical patterns could shape upcoming elections and policy decisions. This forward-looking perspective serves as a call to action, encouraging citizens to engage with the forces driving their state’s politics.

A blend of history, data, and analysis: California After Arnold is a timely look at the complexities of California’s political system. Whether you're deeply engaged in politics or exploring the topic for the first time, Cummings’ work offers invaluable insights and fosters meaningful dialogue about the Golden State’s past, present, and future.